What is the probability for "Will Dustin Moskovitz be responsible for a fraud scandal before 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Dustin  Moskovitz be responsible for a fraud scandal before 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 14 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Dustin Moskovitz be responsible for a fraud scandal before 2024?