What is the probability for "Will DP* flight 344 from Ufa to Adler/Sochi on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will DP* flight 344 from Ufa to Adler/Sochi on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 90% with 7 traders and $808 in volume.

Will DP* flight 344 from Ufa to Adler/Sochi on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution