What is the probability for "Will "Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's Dead" (2024) have 40% critics score on Rotten Tomatoes?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will "Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's Dead" (2024) have >40% critics score on Rotten Tomatoes?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 15 traders and $5K in volume.

Will "Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's Dead" (2024) have >40% critics score on Rotten Tomatoes?