What is the probability for "Will Trump win the US election if he has been convicted of a crime in his January 6th Federal Trial? [10k Subsidy]" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 50% with 133 traders and $49K in volume.

Will Trump win the US election if he has been convicted of a crime in his January 6th Federal Trial? [10k Subsidy]

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