What is the probability for "will Donald Trump be charged with a fifth indictment by January 1st 2024" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "will Donald  Trump be charged with a fifth indictment by January 1st 2024" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 10 traders and $2K in volume.

will Donald Trump be charged with a fifth indictment by January 1st 2024