What is the probability for "Will DL flight 80 from Seattle to Paris on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will DL flight 80 from Seattle to Paris on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 46% with 14 traders and $268 in volume.

Will DL flight 80 from Seattle to Paris on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?