What is the probability for "Will DL flight 2110 from Seattle to San Diego on 2023-09-29 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will DL flight 2110 from Seattle to San Diego on 2023-09-29 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 94% with 10 traders and $299 in volume.

Will DL flight 2110 from Seattle to San Diego on 2023-09-29 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution