What is the probability for "Will Destiny meganuke COPIUM in dgg before the 17th of April?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Destiny meganuke COPIUM in dgg before  the 17th of April?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 18% with 7 traders and $290 in volume.

Will Destiny meganuke COPIUM in dgg before the 17th of April?