What is the probability for "Will Connie Chan (District 1 SF Supervisor) win re-election in 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Connie Chan (District 1 SF Supervisor)  win re-election in 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 11 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Connie Chan (District 1 SF Supervisor) win re-election in 2024?