What is the probability for "Will Claude Monet’s painting “Peupliers au bord de l’Epte, temps couvert” fetch $40mm at auction 11/13?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 7 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Claude Monet’s painting “Peupliers au bord de l’Epte, temps couvert” fetch $40mm at auction 11/13?