What is the probability for "Will Claude Monet's "Nymphéas" sell for $30 million at its upcoming Christie's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Claude Monet's "Nymphéas" sell for >$30 million at its upcoming Christie's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 78% with 17 traders and $4K in volume.

Will Claude Monet's "Nymphéas" sell for >$30 million at its upcoming Christie's auction? (pic included)