What is the probability for "Will China not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will China  not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 9 traders and $2K in volume.

Will China not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022?