What is the probability for "Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 72% with 7 traders and $187 in volume.

Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution