What is the probability for "Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 87% with 11 traders and $150 in volume.

Will BT flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

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