What is the probability for "Will Brazil publicly support Venezuela's claims over Guyana's Essequibo territory by 2024 year end?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Brazil publicly support Venezuela's claims over Guyana's Essequibo territory by  2024 year end?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 14 traders and $5K in volume.

Will Brazil publicly support Venezuela's claims over Guyana's Essequibo territory by 2024 year end?