What is the probability for "Will BR flight 25 from Seattle to Taipei on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will BR flight 25 from Seattle to Taipei on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 92% with 2 traders and $125 in volume.

Will BR flight 25 from Seattle to Taipei on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?