What is the probability for "Will BL flight 6517 from Ho Chi Minh City to Phu Quoc on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will BL flight 6517 from Ho Chi Minh City to Phu Quoc on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 83% with 3 traders and $13 in volume.

Will BL flight 6517 from Ho Chi Minh City to Phu Quoc on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution