What is the probability for "Will B6 flight 253 from Fort Lauderdale to San Juan on 2023-09-19 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will B6 flight 253 from Fort Lauderdale to San Juan on 2023-09-19 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 9 traders and $310 in volume.

Will B6 flight 253 from Fort Lauderdale to San Juan on 2023-09-19 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution