What is the probability for "Will average evening rating at the AI Impacts retreat be above 8 for the first evening on which at least four people play The Schelling Game, if there is such an evening?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 6 traders and $2K in volume.

Will average evening rating at the AI Impacts retreat be above 8 for the first evening on which at least four people play The Schelling Game, if there is such an evening?

Resolution