What is the probability for "Will at least one post (500 words) by Zvi Mowshowitz in 2023 be primarily written by an AI?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will at least one post (>500 words) by Zvi Mowshowitz in 2023 be primarily written by an AI?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 52 traders and $17K in volume.

Will at least one post (>500 words) by Zvi Mowshowitz in 2023 be primarily written by an AI?