What is the probability for "Will at least one American soldier die because of the temporary port activity in Gaza , until the end of June?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will at least one American soldier die because of the temporary port activity in Gaza ,  until the end of June?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 22 traders and $11K in volume.

Will at least one American soldier die because of the temporary port activity in Gaza , until the end of June?

Resolution