What is the probability for "Will AS flight 928 from Seattle to Boise on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will AS flight 928 from Seattle to Boise on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 73% with 6 traders and $58 in volume.

Will AS flight 928 from Seattle to Boise on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?