What is the probability for "Will AS flight 1132 from Seattle to San Francisco on 2023-08-13 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will AS flight 1132 from Seattle to San Francisco on 2023-08-13 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 94% with 5 traders and $61 in volume.

Will AS flight 1132 from Seattle to San Francisco on 2023-08-13 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

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