What is the probability for "Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will April  2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 11 traders and $1K in volume.

Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?