What is the probability for "Will Apple leadership announce a layoff of =5% of workforce by EOY 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Apple leadership announce a layoff of >=5% of workforce by EOY 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 44 traders and $7K in volume.

Will Apple leadership announce a layoff of >=5% of workforce by EOY 2023?