What is the probability for "Will anyone submit a 100% speedrun of Nintendo's TotK with a time under 25 hours to speedrun.com before the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 22 traders and $6K in volume.

Will anyone submit a 100% speedrun of Nintendo's TotK with a time under 25 hours to speedrun.com before the end of 2023?

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