What is the probability for "Will anyone submit a 100% speedrun of Nintendo's TotK with a time under 50 hours to speedrun.com before the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 13 traders and $3K in volume.

Will anyone submit a 100% speedrun of Nintendo's TotK with a time under 50 hours to speedrun.com before the end of 2023?

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