What is the probability for "Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 97% with 7 traders and $6K in volume.

Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?

Resolution