What is the probability for "Will any Republican Primary National poll in April 2024 show 83% support for Trump?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will any Republican Primary National poll in April 2024 show >83% support for Trump?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 13 traders and $3K in volume.

Will any Republican Primary National poll in April 2024 show >83% support for Trump?