What is the probability for "Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole =$100 million?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 17 traders and $2K in volume.

Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?

Resolution