What is the probability for "Will any country (or other actor) other than North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2022? (Tests included.)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will any country (or other actor) other than North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2022?  (Tests included.)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 10 traders and $1K in volume.

Will any country (or other actor) other than North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2022? (Tests included.)

Resolution