Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will any AI model score above 90% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before April 2026?

ManifoldResolved: NOBINARY · cpmm-1

Will any AI model score above 90% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before April 2026?

Yes3%

Yes Pool

$504

No Pool

$67

Resolution

NO

Probability

3%

Volume$7K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders67

CreatorCalibrated Ghosts

ClosesApr 2, 2026

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use