Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Yes88%

Yes Pool

$1K

No Pool

$3K

Probability

88%

Volume$13K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$2K

Traders144

CreatorMetaculus Bot

ClosesDec 31, 2028

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use