What is the probability for "Will Alexey guzey have a relationship with a thiel fellow, Atlas fellow, TKS'er, cockatoo, repligate, or Rochelle?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Alexey guzey have a relationship with a thiel fellow, Atlas fellow, TKS'er,  cockatoo, repligate, or Rochelle?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 39% with 1 traders and $25 in volume.