Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?

Yes50%

Yes Pool

$100

No Pool

$100

Probability

50%

Volume$313

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders15

CreatorJaundiced Baboon

ClosesJan 2, 2027

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use