What is the probability for "Will AI be able to generate non-trivial, original codebase in a compiled language (C++, Java, ...) before 2025?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 8% with 76 traders and $19K in volume.

Will AI be able to generate non-trivial, original codebase in a compiled language (C++, Java, ...) before 2025?

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