What is the probability for "Will Adani Enterprises stock price fall by =40% within the next 18 months?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Adani Enterprises stock price fall by >=40% within the next 18 months?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 100% with 6 traders and $7K in volume.

Will Adani Enterprises stock price fall by >=40% within the next 18 months?