What is the probability for "Will Adam D'Angelo's prediction on GDP growth be correct? ( 50% growth of GDP growth/year starting

Q: What is the probability for "Will Adam D'Angelo's prediction on GDP growth be correct? ( >50% growth of GDP growth/year starting < 4 years from 2023)" on Manifold?

The current market probability is 13% with 8 traders and $151 in volume.

Question

What is the probability for "Will Adam D'Angelo's prediction on GDP growth be correct? ( >50% growth of GDP growth/year starting < 4 years from 2023)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 13% with 8 traders and $151 in volume.