What is the probability for "Will AC flight 105 from Toronto to Vancouver on 2023-09-27 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will AC flight 105 from Toronto to Vancouver on 2023-09-27 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 75% with 10 traders and $166 in volume.

Will AC flight 105 from Toronto to Vancouver on 2023-09-27 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution