What is the probability for "Will "Abigail" (2024) have a Metacritic score 57, two weeks after release?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will "Abigail" (2024) have a Metacritic score >57, two weeks after release?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 5 traders and $2K in volume.

Will "Abigail" (2024) have a Metacritic score >57, two weeks after release?