What is the probability for "Will AA flight 1753 from Charlotte to Fort Lauderdale on 2023-08-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will AA flight 1753 from Charlotte to Fort Lauderdale on 2023-08-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 78% with 8 traders and $218 in volume.

Will AA flight 1753 from Charlotte to Fort Lauderdale on 2023-08-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution