What is the probability for "Will A4* flight 770 from Istanbul to Adler/Sochi on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will A4* flight 770 from Istanbul to Adler/Sochi on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 96% with 5 traders and $205 in volume.

Will A4* flight 770 from Istanbul to Adler/Sochi on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution