What is the probability for "Will A4* flight 5022 from Antalya to Mineralnye Vody on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will A4* flight 5022 from Antalya to Mineralnye Vody on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 96% with 3 traders and $21 in volume.

Will A4* flight 5022 from Antalya to Mineralnye Vody on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution