What is the probability for "Will a video game integrating a GPT reach 100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 30 traders and $8K in volume.

Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?