What is the probability for "Will a tsunami kill 10 people in California in the next 10 days?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a tsunami kill >10 people in California in the next 10 days?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 40 traders and $54K in volume.

Will a tsunami kill >10 people in California in the next 10 days?