What is the probability for "Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before 2026?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before  2026?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 12% with 14 traders and $4K in volume.

Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before 2026?