What is the probability for "Will a solar storm cause a 24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 9 traders and $611 in volume.

Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?