What is the probability for "Will a single independent candidate (barring Trump) get more than 5% of the pop vote in the 2024 US Pres election?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 23 traders and $6K in volume.

Will a single independent candidate (barring Trump) get more than 5% of the pop vote in the 2024 US Pres election?

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