What is the probability for "Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80%  time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30  minutes by September 2026?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 96% with 14 traders and $1K in volume.

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?

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