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/Will a model achieve a METR 50% time-horizon of 4+ hours by the end of 2025?

ManifoldResolved: YESBINARY · cpmm-1

Will a model achieve a METR 50% time-horizon of 4+ hours by the end of 2025?

Yes99%

Yes Pool

$10

No Pool

$995

Resolution

YES

Probability

99%

Volume$3K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders29

CreatorJason 🫘

ClosesDec 20, 2025

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